Lessons

1. If VIX is under 26, buy the dip. If VIX is over 26, sell the rip.

2. Always trade in the direction of the larger trend. Find the strongest trend in your time period.

3. Nothing as bearish as a failed breakout. Nothing as bullish as a failed break down.

4. Don't worry about the last dollar. Take your money and go to the beach!

5. No more than four positions at a time. Preferably 2-4. Scope out others. Pick the strongest.

6. Buy the strongest; sell (short) the weakest.

7. Nothing is guaranteed. Nothing.

Friday, January 9, 2009

Mistake - Shorted Bank 2X ETF

Errors:

1. Greed?  Saying I'm not making as much as I could.  I only made this much.  I could make so much more.

2. Implemented trade even though TICK was flashing contradictory signals.  ALL INDICATORS NOT PRESENT.

When to cover?

1. If TICK and TRIN are in your favor, don't cover.

2. If you think you have made big profits, relative to the market, and you won't be around, cover.  Eg. Yesterday was a 40 point break, over two days in a market that up to that point had been rising.  That's enough.  The indicators were saying "this is enough for now."   WAIT.  Go outside.  Meditate.

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