Lessons

1. If VIX is under 26, buy the dip. If VIX is over 26, sell the rip.

2. Always trade in the direction of the larger trend. Find the strongest trend in your time period.

3. Nothing as bearish as a failed breakout. Nothing as bullish as a failed break down.

4. Don't worry about the last dollar. Take your money and go to the beach!

5. No more than four positions at a time. Preferably 2-4. Scope out others. Pick the strongest.

6. Buy the strongest; sell (short) the weakest.

7. Nothing is guaranteed. Nothing.

Sunday, November 4, 2012

Update - Gold miners and SP

1. $SPXEW (or RSP) and $TRAN are suggesting more strength in the indices.

2 I think we make a lower low on the SP500 Monday or Tuesday, with positive breadth divergences.

3. This could be followed by a move to higher highs, possibly around 1500.

4. Subsequent to last update, I lowered NUGT cost to $14.8, and sold at 15.5 and at $16.25.

Now I legged back in at an average cost of $15.25 (full position).  Will try to lower cost to $14.9 or so.

I also sold SPXU at 40.5 and bought back at average cost of $38.65.  I plan to sell in the 42.5 - 43 zone.

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